Stephon knows someone whose brother received a very lucrative contract to play professional basketball for the National Basketball Association (NBA). With this success story in mind, he ignores the statistics that indicate a very low probability that anyone will make it to the NBA and overestimates his own chances of making it. This scenario best illustrates
a. the covariation principle.
b. the base-rate fallacy.
c. non-correspondent inferences.
d. the actor-observer effect.
b
Psychology
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