Five years ago, Ben thought that assuming humans are causing climate change, there was an 80% chance that the world would get warmer over the next five years. For this reason alone, when the world did get warmer over the next five years, he took that to be strong evidence that humans are causing climate change. This reasoning...
A. is not good because it applies a one-sided strength test
B. is good as long as he does not use this reasoning to a specific value to the probability that humans are causing climate change
C. is good as long as he would have considered the opposite result to be evidence against the claim that humans are causing climate change
D. is not good because he is treating his belief as a po
Answer: A. is not good because it applies a one-sided strength test
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