Bratt's Bed and Breakfast, in a small historic New England town, must decide how to subdivide (remodel) the large old home that will become an inn

There are three alternatives: Option A would modernize all baths and combine rooms, leaving the inn with four suites, each suitable for two to four adults. Option B would modernize only the second floor; the results would be six suites, four for two to four adults, and two for two adults only. Option C (the status quo option) leaves all walls intact. In this case, there are eight rooms available, but only two are suitable for four adults, and four rooms will not have private baths. Below are the details of profit and demand patterns that will accompany each option. Which option has the highest expected value?

Annual profit under various demand patterns
Capacity p Average p
A (Modernize all) $90,000 .5 $25,000 .5
B (Modernize 2nd) $80,000 .4 $70,000 .6
C (Status Quo) $60,000 .3 $55,000 .7


Branch 2, which represents Option B-Modernize 2nd floor, has the highest expected value, $74,000. This cannot be done as a decision table. POM for Windows solution follows.

Business

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