Suppose I learn from an excellent source the true statistical fact that teenage drivers are more likely to be killed in car accidents than other people. For this reason, the next time I hear about a death in a car accident, I think it was probably a teenager who was killed. Which sentence best characterizes this inference?
A. My conclusion that the accident probably involved a teenager is a loose generalization
B. The nference is well-supported because I am thinking proportionally by comparing the proportion of teenage drivers who are likely to be killed in car accidents with the proportion of other people who are.
C. It's a well-supported statistical instantiation.
D. I'm falling prey to the representativeness heuristic.
Answer: D. I'm falling prey to the representativeness heuristic.
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