In the Second World War, during the struggle for New Guinea, intelligence reports revealed that the Japanese were planning to move a troop and supply convoy from the port of Rabaul at the Eastern tip of New Britain to Lae, which lies just west of New Britain on New Guinea. It could either travel via a northern route which was plagued by poor visibility, or by a southern route, where the visibility was clear. General Kenney, who was the commander of the Allied Air Forces in the area, had the choice of concentrating reconnaissance aircraft on one route or the other, and bombing the Japanese convoy once it was sighted. Suppose that General Kenney had a third alternative: Splitting his reconnaissance aircraft between the two routes Kenney's staff drafted the following outcomes for his
choices, where the payoffs are estimated days of bombing time:
Japanese Commander's Strategies
Kenney'sStrategies NorthernRoute
SouthernRoute
Northern Route2
2.5
Split Reconnaissance0.5
3
Southern Route1
3.5
?
What would you have recommended to General Kenney? What would you have recommended to the Japanese Commander? How much bombing time results if these recommendations are followed?
?
A. General Kenney should use Split Reconnaissance and the Japanese Commander should use southern route; 3 days
B. General Kenney should use northern route and the Japanese Commander should use southern route; 2.5 days
C. Both commanders should use the northern route; 2 days
D. Both commanders should use the southern route; 1 days
E. General Kenney should use Split Reconnaissance and the Japanese Commander should use northern route; 0.5 days
Answer: C
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