MegaCable and Acme are competing for an exclusive contract to provide the city of Dustin with cable television for the next year. The firm that wins the contract will earn an economic profit of $5 million. The contact will be awarded to the firm that spends the most on lobbying. If both firms spend the same amount on lobbying, then the winner will be determined by a coin flip, so each will have a 50 percent chance of winning. If both firms refrain from spending anything on lobbying, the expected profit from the contract is:
A. $2 million.
B. $2.5 million.
C. $1 million.
D. $5 million.
Answer: B
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A manager is attempting to assess the probability of a recession ending in the next six months, and its impact on expected profitability. The manager believes there is a 75 percent chance the recession will end in six months and profits will return to $400 million. However, there is a 25 percent chance the recession will not end in six months, resulting in a $5 million loss. The standard deviation of profits over the next six months is:
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