If you are tossing a six-sided die, what is the probability of getting either a 1 or a 2 on your first toss AND a 1 or a 2 on your second toss?  

A.  1/18
B.  1/9
C.  1/6
D.  1/3
E.  2/3

Clarify Question
· What is the key concept addressed by the question?
· What type of thinking is required?
· What key words does the question contain?

Gather Content
· What do you already know about probability?

Consider Possibilities
· What other information is related to the question? Which information is most useful?

Choose Answer · Given what you now know, what information and/or problem solving approach is most likely to produce the correct answer?

Reflect on Process
· Did your problem-solving process lead you to the correct answer? If not, where did the process break down or lead you astray? How can you revise your approach to produce a more desirable result?


B.  1/9

Clarify Question
· What is the key concept addressed by the question?
        o This question targets your understanding of probability.
· What type of thinking is required?
        o You need to Apply your understanding of probability to this particular example of rolling a die.
· What key words does the question contain?
        o A die is the singular form of the word dice. Probability is the likelihood of an event, expressed as a fraction or a percentage.

Gather Content
· What do you already know about probability?
        o We have learned about probability in the context of genetics. Like rolling a die, in genetics the outcome from one reproductive event does not affect the likelihood of a subsequent event.

Consider Possibilities
· What other information is related to the question? Which information is most useful?
        o For this problem, break it into two events: the likelihood from the first roll and the second.
        o Then multiply the two probabilities to get the overall probability.

Choose Answer · Given what you now know, what information and/or problem solving approach is most likely to produce the correct answer?
        o What is the likelihood of rolling a 1 or 2 on the first roll? Those are 2 out of 6 possibilities, so 2/6 or 1/3.
        o The second roll has the same probability – it is unaffected by the first result. So 1/3 for the second roll.
        o The probability of the combined scenario is found by multiplying the two individual probabilities. 1/3 x 1/3 = 1/9.

Reflect on Process
· Did your problem-solving process lead you to the correct answer? If not, where did the process break down or lead you astray? How can you revise your approach to produce a more desirable result?
        o This question required you to Apply your knowledge and understanding to this unfamiliar situation.
        o Make sure to read questions carefully. Would the result be the same if you were asked about rolling a 1 or 2 on the first roll, and then rolling the SAME number on the second roll?         o With dice and with genetics, remember that independent events do not affect each other. Even if a couple has 4 sons in a row, their fifth baby still has a 50% chance of being a boy!

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