Morris Polling conducted a poll 6 months before an election in a state in which a Democrat and a Republican were running for governor and found that 70% of the voters intended to vote for the Republican and 30% intended to vote for the Democrat. In a poll conducted 3 months later, it was found that 60% of those who had earlier stated a preference for the Republican candidate still maintained that preference, whereas 40% of these voters now preferred the Democratic candidate. Of those who had earlier stated a preference for the Democrat, 70% still maintained that preference, whereas 30% now preferred the Republican candidate.

Question

If the election were held at this time, who would win?
Assuming that this trend continues, which candidate is expected to win the election?

Answer 1

Republican; Democra