Assume that the current spot exchange rate is $1.98/£, that the three-month forward exchange rate is $2.00/£, and that a speculator believes that the spot rate in three months will be $2.05/£. How can this person speculate in the forward market? Also assume that the speculator is willing to take a position of about $20 million or £10 million. How much will the speculator earn if he or she is correct?

What will be an ideal response?


POSSIBLE RESPONSE: Assuming the position amount is $20 million, the speculator will buy £10 million at the 90-day forward rate $2.00/£. On the contract date, he or she will receive the pounds at the forward contract rate of $2.00/£. Then, the person will instruct his or her bank immediately to sell £10 million in the spot market for $2.05/£, making a net profit of $500,000.

Economics

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What will be an ideal response?

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