Use Bayes' rule to find the indicated probability.The incidence of a certain disease on the island of Tukow is 4%. A new test has been developed to diagnose the disease. Using this test, 91% of those who have the disease test positive while 4% of those who do not have the disease test positive (false positive). If a person tests positive, what is the probability that he or she actually has the disease?
A. 0.438
B. 0.487
C. 0.91
D. 0.856
Answer: B
Mathematics
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A. ln 
B. 
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?
?
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