A poll taken on August 15 shows Candidate A leading by a 55 to 45 percent margin over Candidate B, with a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points. Assuming no sampling problems, what is the best evaluation of this poll's results?

a. Candidate A will win the November election by a 55 to 45 percent margin.
b. Candidate A will win the November election, gathering between 52 percent and 58 percent of the vote.
c. Candidate A will win the November election, but it is impossible to predict the margin.
d. Candidate A is ahead in August, but polls cannot predict the future.
e. Candidate A will lose the November election because traditionally a lead this small in August collapses by mid-September.


b

Political Science

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