The police chief in Anytown, USA, is conducting weekly seminars where the residents of his city can come and learn about crime rates, crime trends, and crime patterns in their city. Every week the seminars seem to become more popular. At the most recent seminar, 200 people attended. They had to move the seminar into the city auditorium. At this week's seminar, one of the participants asked the chief of police to comment on crime rates. Which statement below would the chief be able to state with certitude?

A. "Speculating about future crime trends is risky because change can occur rapidly."
B. "Crime rates will continue to decrease because they have been decreasing for the past 20 years and crime trends move in 40-year cycles."
C. "Crime rates will most likely increase because the baby boomer population is increasing."
D. "All U.S. cities will experience a decrease in crime rates next year because international crime rates continue to decline."


Answer: A

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