For the decision tree branch shown, determine the expected values of the two outcomes if decision D3 is already selected and the maximum outcome value is sought. (This decision branch is part of a larger tree.)


Compute the expected value for each outcome and select the maximum at D3.

Top node: 0.4(55) + 0.30(-30) + 0.30(-10) = 10.0

Bottom node: 0.6(-7) + 0.4(0) = -4.2

Indicate 10.0 and –4.2 in ovals and select the top branch with E(value) = 10.0

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