Consider the standard dynamic model of money in which the economy is in a steady state with constant levels of output, inflation, and the nominal interest rate. Suppose initially that the steady-state nominal interest rate is 4 percent, the steady-state inflation rate is 2% percent, and the growth rate of the money supply is 2 percent. How will an unanticipated permanent decline in the growth rate of the money supply to 0 percent affect the level of output, the inflation rate, and the nominal interest rate?

What will be an ideal response?


Because the change in the growth rate is unanticipated, it will have real effects during the transition. The liquidity effect will temporarily raise the nominal interest rate, so output will decline temporarily. The new steady state will be one with the same level of output, a lower inflation rate (falling from 2 percent in the old steady state to 0 percent in the new steady state), and a lower nominal interest rate (falling from 4 percent in the old steady state to 2 percent in the new steady state).

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