Use Bayes' rule to find the indicated probability.The incidence of a certain disease on the island of Tukow is 4%. A new test has been developed to diagnose the disease. Using this test, 91% of those who have the disease test positive while 4% of those who do not have the disease test positive (false positive). If a person tests positive, what is the probability that he or she actually has the disease?
A. 0.438
B. 0.487
C. 0.91
D. 0.856
Answer: B
You might also like to view...
Determine whether the specified paradox occurs.A small country consists of 7 provinces with the following populations: 
There are 300 federal judges to be apportioned according to the population of each province. Does the Alabama paradox occur using Hamilton's method if the number of judges is increased from 300 to 301?
A. Yes B. No
Provide an appropriate response.Suppose you have to develop a model to predict snowfall for the upcoming winter based on data from previous winters. Consider the table of annual snowfall over the last five years:
Would it be possible to come up with one model that predicted very low amounts of snowfall and another that predicted very high amounts of snowfall? How so? If you were employed by a ski resort to come up with a model, what type of model would you use? What could be done to try to reduce the chance of coming up with such different models?
What will be an ideal response?
Simplify.
+ 
A. 
B. 
C. 
D. 
Solve the equation algebraically. Verify your solution with a graphing utility.
+ 
= - 
A. 
B. 
C. 
D. 