A Gallup poll in October 1948 showed President Truman losing his reelection bid by almost 10 points. In fact, Truman won reelection a month later. Assuming the poll was otherwise valid, why might the poll have not been predictive of the actual result?
a. Individuals might have had weakly formed opinions or changed their mind over a month.
b. Polling voters rarely produces accurate results.
c. Individuals generally refuse to say who they will vote for, skewing the results.
d. The poll was likely a push poll.
a. Individuals might have had weakly formed opinions or changed their mind over a month.
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