Use exponential smoothing with trend adjustment to forecast deliveries for period 10. Let alpha = 0.4, beta = 0.2, and let the initial trend value be 4 and the initial forecast be 200

Period Actual
Demand
1 200
2 212
3 214
4 222
5 236
6 221
7 240
8 244
9 250
10 266


Actual Forecast Trend FIT
1 200 200.00 4.00
2 212 202.40 3.68 206.08
3 214 208.45 4.15 212.60
4 222 213.16 4.27 217.43
5 236 219.26 4.63 223.89
6 221 228.73 5.60 234.33
7 240 229.00 4.53 233.53
8 244 236.12 5.05 241.17
9 250 242.30 5.28 247.58
10 266 248.55 5.47 254.02

Business

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