Explain why John Gentry believes that the current efforts at intelligence reform will fail. How does he think the intelligence process can work better?
What will be an ideal response?
John Gentry (2008) suggests that the current spate of reform is part of an American tradition. The literature of American intelligence is replete with examples of failures to predict significant events and reform efforts to overcome deficiencies. Gentry believes that most current efforts will fail because they are misdirected. The bureaucracies in the intelligence community have a tremendous stake in preserving the status quo, and employees in each organization believe that they will be blamed for misinterpreting information. This produces a culture that avoids risk taking and reinforces groupthink.
Reform, if and when it develops, is laboriously slow. Gentry concludes that the intelligence process will work better if local domestic issues and vulnerabilities are lessened. Target-based analysis focuses on two questions: What targets are vulnerable? What capabilities exist to address threats? As David Carter (2009) concludes, intelligence works best when information is based on potential threats and there is a sharing of the information among differing levels of government.
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