A manager is deciding whether or not to build a small facility. Demand is uncertain and can be either at a high or low level. If the manager chooses a small facility and demand is low, the payoff is $100
If the manager chooses a small facility and demand is high, the payoff is $300. On the other hand, if the manager chooses a large facility and demand is low, the payoff is -$200, but if demand is high, the payoff is $800.
(a) What would be the best decision based on the Laplace criterion?
(b) What would be the best decision based on Hurwicz's criterion of realism using ? = 0.6?
(a) large facility - equally weighted payoff = $300
(b) large facility - weighted average = $400
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