What is the expected payoff for Big Cure's blockbuster drug?
Big Cure and Little Cure are both pharmaceutical companies. Big Cure presently has a potential "blockbuster" drug before the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) waiting for approval. If approved, Big Cure's blockbuster drug will produce $1 billion in net income for Big Cure. Little Cure has ten separate, less important drugs before the FDA waiting for approval. If approved, each of Little Cure's drugs would produce $100 million in net income. The probability of the FDA approving a drug is 40%.
A) $100 million
B) $0
C) $1 billion
D) $400 million
Answer: D
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